Wednesday, July 19, 2006

The Law of Supply...and More Supply

I never really credit home builders as savvy economists.

I know of one project in a small Minnesota town where the population is 2,200 people, and the developer wants to put in 115 MULTI-FAMILY UNITS!!!

Just assuming 2 dwellings per unit, that means this guy actually thinks the population is going to grow by 25% in 3 years...and that they're all going to want crappy, cookie cutting side to side town homes.

Of course, no study was done to see if demand would actually meet or exceed supply, and home builders just keep on building assuming it will always sell.

Well, aside from high interest rates there's another factor affect/driving housing prices lower; a glut o' supply.

We have record levels of inventory of housing/houses for sale;



And this was an interesting little chart I found, you can read the description below;


Now, if my economic spidey senses are correct, they tell me that when supply overly exceeds demand something happens to prices. Unforutnately I went to the public schools, so this is a difficult one for me, but I'm guessing, I don't know, maybe they're ummmm going down????

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